Net Farm Income Forecast Up 31 Percent in 2011
Net farm income is forecast at $103.6 billion for 2011, up $24.5 billion for a rise of 31 percent from 2010. All three measures of farm sector earnings (net farm income, net cash income, and net value added) are forecast to rise more than 20 percent in 2011.
Net farm income and net cash income are both projected to exceed $100 billion for the first time in 2011. The 2011 forecast of net farm income is the second highest inflation-adjusted value recorded since 1973. Crop receipts are expected to increase by $33.6 billion, with corn, wheat, hay, cotton, and soybeans receipts expected to show the largest percentage gains. Total expenses are forecast to increase $32.5 billion (11.4 percent) in 2011, exceeding $300 billion for the first time.
The value of the farm sector's equity (net worth) is forecast to rise 7.7 percent in 2011. The estimated increase in farm sector equity is largely due to an estimated 7.1-percent increase in the value of farm business real estate. Farm sector debt is estimated to decrease by 1.9 percent in 2011. The forecast debt-to-asset ratio of 10.4 percent would match 2007’s historical low as would the 11.6 percent debt-to-equity ratio.
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Median Farm Household Income Also Forecast Up in 2011
Median total farm household income is expected to increase by 1.9 percent in 2011, to $55,405. Most farm households earn the majority of their income from off-farm sources and off-farm income is expected to increase by 3.0 percent in 2011, to 51,889. In 2010, median total farm household income was $54,370, up 4.1 percent from 2009 and 1.2 percent above the 5-year average for 2006-10. Median farm and off-farm income was $-2,020 and $50,385, respectively, both higher than in 2009.
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See also
- Agricultural
Income and Finance Outlook for historical
estimates and forecasts of farm sector
financial information that allows readers
to gauge the financial health of the
Nation's farmers and ranchers
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